MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6cc6a61a50c5a297e5a2f04bbdf14bda69dbec31a22b1db252008a1f8aa6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Twins, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 43c | 246,085$104,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,924.07 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 58c | 124,000$71,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,679.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 59c | 57,026$33,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,552.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 42c | 38,738$16,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,269.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Twins | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Phillies | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Phillies | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 26c | 6,473$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 74c | 5,852$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.24 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 58c | 5,463$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins | 42c | 5,010$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.19 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Phillies | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…20e2backed Twins | 42c | 4,930$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Phillies | 59c | 4,929$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.81 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 41c | 4,425$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.22 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 38c | 4,258$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.09 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Phillies | 58c | 3,702$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 57c | 2,941$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.19 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 58c | 2,681$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.03 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Phillies | 58c | 2,557$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.96 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 59c | 2,550$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Twins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins | 41c | 1,722$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.49 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 32c | 1,582$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Twins | 23c | 1,356$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Twins | 41c | 1,327$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Twins | 43c | 1,221$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Phillies | 60c | 1,210$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Phillies | 67c | 1,198$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Twins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Twins | 41c | 1,065$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.65 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 58c | 1,011$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.62 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Phillies | 58c | 1,007$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Twins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Twins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins | 42c | 999.97$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 39c | 999.94$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Twins | 19c | 974.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Phillies | 58c | 862$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Phillies | 73c | 820$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.2 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 60c | 719$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Phillies | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 64c | 634.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Phillies | 58c | 612.07$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…57f5backed Phillies | 80c | 607.68$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Twins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 42c | 531.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 59c | 519.16$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Phillies | 60c | 496.7$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Twins | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 43c | 430.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Twins | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Twins | 41c | 383.23$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Twins | 11c | 342$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Phillies | 58c | 335.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillies | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Phillies | 61c | 299.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Phillies | 58c | 291.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Phillies | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 26c | 274$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 39c | 260.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Twins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…644fbacked Twins | 40c | 222.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…6d0abacked Twins | 40c | 222.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…b0b2backed Twins | 40c | 222.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…876cbacked Twins | 41c | 219.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…83f9backed Twins | 40c | 219.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b7…6231backed Twins | 41c | 218.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…dffabacked Twins | 41c | 218.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…d64dbacked Twins | 41c | 218.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2438…f361backed Twins | 41c | 217.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…83f5backed Twins | 41c | 217.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…c260backed Twins | 41c | 216.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…be74backed Twins | 41c | 216$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…237fbacked Twins | 41c | 215.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb415…9da8backed Twins | 41c | 215.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…ed5dbacked Twins | 41c | 214.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…7eeabacked Twins | 41c | 214.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…0202backed Twins | 41c | 214.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…ed96backed Twins | 41c | 213.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…33b2backed Twins | 41c | 213.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…dd19backed Twins | 41c | 212.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Phillies | 59c | 201.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Twins | 6c | 201.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Twins | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Philliesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.