NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787aa10478d3db25ee8ac5f3335e12144d061e96216c195345e25c06d744db6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 47c | 4,259$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 3,640$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.14 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 2,539$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.53 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,960$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 1,865$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Over | 43c | 997.19$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…2771backed Under | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Under | 44c | 891.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 655$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.66 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 43c | 579.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 44c | 559$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.65 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 468.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…dd0fbacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 360.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 354$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 8c | 308.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…cce7backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 56c | 298.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 213.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 59c | 201.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…904ebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 197.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 21c | 164.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 42c | 143.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 41c | 141.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 139.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c5…76fbbacked Over | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 45c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…2502backed Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…ac41backed Over | 56c | 50.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…577ebacked Under | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Over | 34c | 40.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 54c | 38.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 53c | 37.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…93a5backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Over | 56c | 32.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Under | 66c | 30.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. KrakenAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.