NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd86f2afe50d8ea5319484c34cd0dd5e31bfc11904f4baa35b7d0a988e031289

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Avalancheof Avalanche, Kraken
Resolved: Dec 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,403 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Kraken	47c	23,607$11,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,091.47	100	50%50 W · 50 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7178…0c07backed Avalanche	53c	18,868$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,867.92	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche	52c	8,639$4,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,157.07	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…a686backed Avalanche	53c	4,432$2,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.04	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Avalanche	54c	4,393$2,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020.72	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58d7…7cf1backed Kraken	47c	2,298$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.04	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Kraken	47c	2,132$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.16	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche	45c	2,019$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.3	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Kraken	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.99	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche	77c	1,954$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.41	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kraken	50c	1,729$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.27	484	52.3%253 W · 231 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kraken	46c	1,677$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.32	881	51.2%451 W · 430 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Kraken	1c	1,599$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kraken	46c	1,500$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695	1,143	50.8%581 W · 562 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Kraken	6c	1,311$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.64	294	12.9%38 W · 256 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Kraken	2c	1,305$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.53	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ba…3061backed Avalanche	53c	1,200$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Kraken	50c	1,020$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.78	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c65…701bbacked Avalanche	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Kraken	50c	742.08$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+5.4wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche	53c	734.93$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.77	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Avalanche	50c	699.95$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.97	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken	50c	627.71$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.61	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Avalanche	54c	560$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.6	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche	52c	548.29$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.18	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Avalanche	51c	499.05$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.41	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Avalanche	54c	309.29$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.47	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Kraken	50c	301$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.74	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kraken	65c	300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	273	34.4%94 W · 179 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken	49c	286.56$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.31	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Avalanche	54c	261.67$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.37	268	48.5%130 W · 138 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Kraken	47c	216.64$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.55	481	49.3%237 W · 244 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Avalanche	58c	215.52$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.52	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Avalanche	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	+9.2wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ac5…a943backed Avalanche	53c	200.57$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Kraken	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	232	49.1%114 W · 118 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Avalanche	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…579ebacked Kraken	48c	160.94$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Kraken	50c	158$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kraken	46c	140$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	472	49.2%232 W · 240 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Kraken	47c	139.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	264	48.9%129 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Kraken	49c	138$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.98	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Kraken	47c	129$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Kraken	50c	122$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.92	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Kraken	47c	112$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.64	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Kraken	46c	109.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Avalanche	48c	109$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.68	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a5…83f1backed Kraken	52c	109$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Avalanche	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Kraken	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	422	54.3%229 W · 193 L	+18.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f4…4763backed Avalanche	74c	95$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Avalanche	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	177	55.9%99 W · 78 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Kraken	49c	91.51$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.84	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Kraken	50c	87$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Kraken	51c	83$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Kraken	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Kraken	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	271	48.7%132 W · 139 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Kraken	48c	79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.83	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Kraken	48c	77.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	130	46.2%60 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Avalanche	53c	77.36$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.36	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Kraken	50c	77$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Kraken	48c	76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	189	46%87 W · 102 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Kraken	17c	75.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+14.5wins	+0.20per pick	10cpaid	+218.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Kraken	47c	71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.37	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken	46c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	583	46.5%271 W · 312 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Avalanche	50c	69$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.21	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Kraken	47c	67.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.73	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Avalanche	49c	67$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Avalanche	51c	67$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.15	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Kraken	49c	66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.34	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Kraken	50c	64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Kraken	47c	61$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.67	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Kraken	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Avalanche	51c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.64	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Avalanche	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	40cpaid	+83.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Avalanche	50c	58$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.18	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Kraken	47c	58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Kraken	50c	57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8146…8922backed Avalanche	49c	57$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.07	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1075…6b74backed Avalanche	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Avalanche	50c	56$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.82	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a3…6188backed Avalanche	49c	52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Kraken	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	274	45.6%125 W · 149 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kraken	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	601	41.9%252 W · 349 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Kraken	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	62	71%44 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Kraken	49c	49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Avalanche	38c	48.12$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.71	1,530	51.7%791 W · 739 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Avalanche	50c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+5.9wins	+0.37per pick	51cpaid	+89.8%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Avalanche	50c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Avalanche	49c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.83	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Avalanche	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Avalanche	51c	44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Avalanche	50c	44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Kraken	53c	43.93$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.27	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Avalanche	49c	43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.93	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Avalanche	52c	43$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.47	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kraken	48c	42.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Avalanche	53c	42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.74	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
Avalanche vs. KrakenAvalanche won
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event