NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c2cebc5ca11571e6cc81f7b061b2d3f1ba2034cbe0aac892213b118187e4415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 2,917$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 2,863$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.65 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 57c | 586.6$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 318.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 56c | 246$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 56c | 215$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 56c | 169$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 56c | 164$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 56c | 161$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 56c | 161$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 56c | 142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 56c | 141$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Under | 43c | 126.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 56c | 123$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 119.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 44c | 86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 29c | 83.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 44c | 82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 70.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…a9d9backed Under | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Under | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. KrakenAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.