NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2fe3038d9c1527da7b9b6b298e3982f05a61025d730f2c0635f312b0ab721a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $987,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Avalanche | 73c | 102,581$74,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,779.03 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 24c | 94,733$22,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,514.11 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kraken | 26c | 72,655$18,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,890.36 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Kraken | 27c | 58,635$15,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,831.39 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 72c | 40,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Kraken | 27c | 40,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked Avalanche | 74c | 37,031$27,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,628.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kraken | 27c | 32,674$8,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,822 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 17c | 29,000$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.23 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Avalanche | 70c | 21,200$14,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.8 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Avalanche | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.98 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 71c | 16,305$11,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.77 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kraken | 59c | 15,240$8,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,986.29 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 73c | 10,500$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Avalanche | 57c | 10,488$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.83 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche | 70c | 8,215$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.89 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Kraken | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 61c | 6,500$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Avalanche | 66c | 6,000$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 68c | 5,679$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Avalanche | 56c | 5,589$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.26 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken | 17c | 5,411$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.94 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 26c | 5,400$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 76c | 5,243$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Avalanche | 72c | 5,123$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 57c | 5,029$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Avalanche | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 71c | 4,854$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 27c | 4,827$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Avalanche | 74c | 4,679$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.63 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Avalanche | 79c | 4,629$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.63 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 71c | 4,614$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.77 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Avalanche | 74c | 4,576$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.74 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 29c | 4,554$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.01 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken | 27c | 4,432$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.76 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kraken | 37c | 4,294$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.23 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kraken | 39c | 4,265$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.39 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 29c | 4,046$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.04 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Avalanche | 63c | 3,755$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kraken | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Avalanche | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…38f0backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…0a4cbacked Kraken | 28c | 3,300$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Kraken | 27c | 3,072$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.95 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Avalanche | 73c | 2,860$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.76 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kraken | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Avalanche | 73c | 2,853$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 26c | 2,842$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.91 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Kraken | 26c | 2,600$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Avalanche | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 70c | 2,472$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.32 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Avalanche | 73c | 2,429$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kraken | 23c | 2,417$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.83 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Avalanche | 74c | 2,405$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Avalanche | 49c | 2,379$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Avalanche | 41c | 2,185$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Avalanche | 75c | 2,140$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken | 31c | 2,068$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.81 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…6298backed Kraken | 28c | 2,026$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Kraken | 34c | 2,025$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Avalanche | 73c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Kraken | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 26c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Kraken | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,989$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.7 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kraken | 28c | 1,949$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kraken | 21c | 1,942$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Kraken | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,904$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.87 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kraken | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Kraken | 27c | 1,840$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.78 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…bfb1backed Kraken | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…7ee1backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,800$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,777$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Kraken | 27c | 1,753$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 26c | 1,750$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 28c | 1,715$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.1 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,652$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.59 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Kraken | 60c | 1,605$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Avalanche | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kraken | 24c | 1,600$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,593$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.62 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Kraken | 59c | 1,574$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche | 75c | 1,541$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.37 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Kraken | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kraken | 32c | 1,523$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.46 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…4e49backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…59adbacked Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…f9d5backed Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…d641backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…0beebacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…eb03backed Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…056ebacked Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…9c37backed Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…a6a1backed Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4f…6138backed Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c0…2001backed Kraken | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Krakenthis page
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.