TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf275…7050

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
268
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST8568.2%58 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.03
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25.4%+$14.06
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.4%+$29.79
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$10.51
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.69
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.71
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.31
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.33
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$7.87
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.32
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+41.6%+$14.46
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.09
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.75
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.31
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.84
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37.4%+$9.35
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.96
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+51.9%+$5.84
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.7%+$7.55
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.98
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST7955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$38.88
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.79
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.64
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$6.43
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.62
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.81
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+57.4%+$14.19
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.22
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35.56
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+182.2%+$24.59
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+68.1%+$7.83
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.93
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.07
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$7.56
Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.42
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+134.4%+$23.3
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST6659.1%39 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chargers (-2.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.07
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.3%+$19.63
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+68.9%+$13.65
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Texans (-12.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Texans (-11.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10.57
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.02
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$8.94
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Spread: 49ers (-12.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$17.29
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.82
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$16.38
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$16.76
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.54
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56.55
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+51.2%+$5.99
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.4%+$16.44
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Total Sets: O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35%+$11.07
Fritz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$65.51
Total Sets: O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Shelton (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.1%+$26.37
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$13.31
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.75
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.07
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tienbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+129.1%+$17.43
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+400%+$116.6
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.88
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$41.7
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublikbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+164.7%+$42.31
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+67.5%+$36.69
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+161.1%+$38.69
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17.09
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+94%+$22.49
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+129.3%+$22.93
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norfolk State Spartans vs. UTEP Minersbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+50.1%+$35.06
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.