Tennis · resolved market
Total Sets: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce000b9b5313cb4e247f18b5363ea7a6b680cd438d0722e993ac3296e8942185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 1,510$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.22 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under 2.5 | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over 2.5 | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…6426backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under 2.5 | 59c | 446.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Over 2.5 | 41c | 244.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 231.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 202.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over 2.5 | 58c | 171.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 113.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…45e0backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Under 2.5 | 38c | 86.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…797abacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed Over 2.5 | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Sets: O/U 2.5this page
- ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime won
- Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.