Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf24e95b69dd3244db29e25f5fb5545c4ec09d64b32154ad645c70c4eb54296a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Zverev, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zverev | 0c | 10,104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Zverev | 37c | 1,041$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.2 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 905.52$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.53 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 730.25$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.42 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Zverev | 36c | 655.66$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.16 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 470.31$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Zverev | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Zverev | 43c | 327.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 254.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 203.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Zverev | 44c | 135.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…ce5fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 82.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Zverev | 50c | 73.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Zverev | 41c | 63.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…04bebacked Zverev | 41c | 53.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Zverev | 37c | 41.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zverev | 37c | 40.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Zverev | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…5bfebacked Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)this page
- ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime won
- Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime won
- Total Sets: O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.