NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26976b930a4db7d526b63da1c1091a9aca7116441d4f1736d7f8637dc7aa788c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Maple Leafs, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 793 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 20,691$7,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.45 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 66c | 17,157$11,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,842.09 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 65c | 11,110$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.95 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 66c | 10,773$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.52 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Stars | 67c | 10,408$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 64c | 8,599$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 7,013$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 5,496$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.78 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,851$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.4 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 4,325$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 4,264$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 3,647$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 3,452$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.23 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stars | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…9bd6backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…72a9backed Stars | 66c | 2,880$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,642$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.25 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,076$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.51 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Maple Leafs | 17c | 2,073$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,008$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 2,004$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars | 65c | 1,952$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.04 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,756$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,738$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.01 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,675$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.75 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,563$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2852…f079backed Stars | 66c | 1,550$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…873bbacked Stars | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb48…2cc8backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…e264backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…08adbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…f723backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…3e1cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa5…9a58backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…480fbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…a28cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…3b7bbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…7a01backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…1396backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…d017backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…3bedbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…0cc4backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…8fbfbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…dfbbbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…4075backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ec…09ecbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…ef23backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…ec8ebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…df5dbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…e87bbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…8b05backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…9c32backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…c33fbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…4e49backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…cd97backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd1…78efbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f7…2b28backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…6506backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…c846backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…ac2abacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…59adbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…0791backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…a406backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…23b2backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…1016backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…56b5backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…5df4backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…d641backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…56cdbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…4bedbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…10f1backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…0beebacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…d5a5backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…0e20backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…674fbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…d5bfbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…ee8dbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…2540backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…577abacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…3a5bbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…13c7backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…26c7backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…36babacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…6929backed Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…1c1dbacked Stars | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…7decbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…bb53backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…b248backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…ce36backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…c3edbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…0696backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa47…a2a2backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…e5c2backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…3cd6backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…0288backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Starsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.