TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anisimovaof Swiatek, Anisimova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Swiatek68c41,939$28,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,517.235950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Anisimova32c20,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,60022037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Anisimova32c12,500$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5006549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Anisimova32c5,539$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.289546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Anisimova39c5,000$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.5922629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Anisimova21c4,934$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.7628952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Anisimova80c3,962$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.152152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Swiatek76c3,648$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.9165242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Anisimova32c3,136$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.8922344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Swiatek68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9915862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed Anisimova24c2,665$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Swiatek11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Swiatek54c1,989$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.4611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Anisimova31c1,867$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.562,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Swiatek65c1,706$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2560055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Anisimova26c1,683$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.0735932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Anisimova22c1,638$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.5419835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Anisimova31c1,614$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.361,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Anisimova42c1,598$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.015731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Anisimova53c1,555$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.9924544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…491dbacked Anisimova32c1,520$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…417cbacked Swiatek69c1,520$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Anisimova33c1,512$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.1224852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcdb…5ae8backed Anisimova25c1,477$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Swiatek66c1,448$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b14…6606backed Anisimova36c1,365$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec70…3a28backed Swiatek64c1,157$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c52…2ae6backed Swiatek63c1,146$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01b…b4bcbacked Anisimova37c1,145$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ba…3669backed Swiatek64c1,144$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bb…623ebacked Anisimova37c1,136$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Anisimova35c1,136$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.624456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…5841backed Swiatek63c1,135$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Swiatek21c1,134$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.05837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…b557backed Anisimova36c1,125$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Anisimova22c1,100$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9996035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Swiatek46c1,087$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4528833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c42…3307backed Swiatek64c1,086$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9646…bf2bbacked Swiatek64c1,075$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe26e…605ebacked Anisimova36c1,036$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Swiatek15c1,031$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.07728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd357…0c39backed Swiatek64c1,025$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43d…8e4ebacked Anisimova36c1,024$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb874…e15ebacked Anisimova36c1,023$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e9…933fbacked Swiatek64c1,022$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Swiatek56c1,006$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9316644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Swiatek80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Anisimova31c999.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.997226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64fa…220dbacked Anisimova36c936$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Swiatek66c899.97$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9822737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Anisimova24c893.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.599149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Swiatek45c878.06$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7446556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Swiatek57c837.36$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.371,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Anisimova29c825$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Anisimova33c805.37$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8417646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Anisimova34c800$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53230339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Anisimova34c799.9$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.946046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Anisimova32c784$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1213935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Anisimova22c742.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Swiatek68c740.33$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Anisimova51c730.57$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.428139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Anisimova36c690.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8438348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Swiatek74c670.99$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Anisimova34c643$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.386250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Swiatek71c636.21$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4529452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Anisimova32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Swiatek67c595.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Anisimova23c591.65$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Anisimova16c567.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.823354.5%18 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+65.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Anisimova64c558$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.881450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Anisimova34c557.59$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5925722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Anisimova25c498$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5512154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Swiatek54c491.06$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.352,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Anisimova33c469.7$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.710440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Anisimova43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Swiatek65c450$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.51353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Swiatek69c415.84$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9322744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a8…e268backed Swiatek24c399.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Anisimova34c393.79$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.51,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Anisimova48c386.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5570465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Swiatek14c380.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.313435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…6f8cbacked Anisimova32c375$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Swiatek56c369$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6417867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Swiatek78c367.94$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3911053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Anisimova26c366.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.943141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Swiatek40c336.2$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Anisimova48c317.4$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Anisimova35c314.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2943448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Anisimova32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.523429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Anisimova32c310$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.816146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8c…1d62backed Anisimova33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+78.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Swiatek69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20710457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde50…cf46backed Anisimova34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1983100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Anisimova13c299.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26010822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Swiatek68c294.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Swiatek72c290.26$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.361,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Swiatek65c290.04$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.522878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Anisimova56c284.66$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.52,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Swiatek28c281$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.84351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Swiatek70c271.43$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19024844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.