NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x527e285ad249d2fcf3181c45ef3e0aaa9bba6c6efe8d354691989d10bcbe2efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,731,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,824,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,731,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 921 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 33c | 122,572$40,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,198.94 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Heat | 67c | 89,999$60,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,299.2 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Heat | 63c | 81,081$51,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,081.02 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 34c | 79,966$27,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,595.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 34c | 66,457$22,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,962.14 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…4fffbacked Heat | 68c | 65,792$44,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,738.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 32c | 51,736$16,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,179.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Heat | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.97 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 67c | 45,150$30,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,239.72 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 33c | 45,102$14,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,264.12 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Heat | 70c | 42,621$29,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,990.01 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Heat | 68c | 36,765$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Heat | 71c | 35,568$25,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,252.99 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 71c | 34,800$24,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,707.97 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 59c | 27,119$16,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,024.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Heat | 67c | 26,587$17,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,813 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Raptors | 38c | 26,540$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,536.16 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 33c | 26,396$8,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,640.93 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 66c | 26,347$17,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,398.6 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Raptors | 33c | 25,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,750 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 35c | 24,549$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,956.85 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 67c | 23,483$15,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,673.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 65c | 23,340$15,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,136.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Raptors | 31c | 22,720$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,709.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Raptors | 33c | 19,000$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,730 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…0950backed Heat | 67c | 19,000$12,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,729.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 34c | 17,733$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,629.66 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 44c | 15,510$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,664.93 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Raptors | 34c | 14,744$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,743.57 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 68c | 14,659$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 30c | 13,453$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,481.33 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 55c | 13,235$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,991.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Heat | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…ae06backed Raptors | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,039.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 18c | 11,580$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.93 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 34c | 11,487$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,563.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Raptors | 32c | 11,083$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,482.89 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…cc7bbacked Raptors | 33c | 10,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,035 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 66c | 10,314$6,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,857.59 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Heat | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Raptors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Heat | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…9899backed Raptors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…8d8abacked Heat | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 65c | 9,300$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Raptors | 34c | 9,204$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.16 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…f142backed Heat | 67c | 9,005$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…6b1fbacked Heat | 67c | 9,000$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…9dbebacked Heat | 67c | 8,888$5,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,954.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 66c | 8,444$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.52 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors | 46c | 8,237$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.87 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Raptors | 33c | 8,046$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,366.44 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 10c | 7,987$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.66 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 33c | 7,468$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.64 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 65c | 7,321$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.52 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 14c | 6,673$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.72 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 54c | 6,560$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.97 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raptors | 33c | 6,505$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.35 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heat | 14c | 6,422$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.08 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…72b5backed Raptors | 33c | 6,400$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 66c | 5,990$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.4 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 32c | 5,979$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.6 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Raptors | 33c | 5,455$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raptors | 33c | 5,397$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.24 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Heat | 67c | 5,065$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…f121backed Heat | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 35c | 4,847$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors | 34c | 4,761$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.06 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Heat | 64c | 4,744$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.78 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…4d73backed Heat | 67c | 4,300$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Heat | 67c | 4,030$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Raptors | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Raptors | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…a8acbacked Heat | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 68c | 3,806$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 32c | 3,806$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.97 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 62c | 3,802$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.47 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d992backed Raptors | 33c | 3,698$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…d765backed Raptors | 33c | 3,600$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…8cbbbacked Heat | 72c | 3,400$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 33c | 3,050$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.36 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Heat | 66c | 3,025$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.43 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…067dbacked Raptors | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 45c | 2,989$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Raptors | 34c | 2,938$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.3 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raptors | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…a995backed Heat | 67c | 2,700$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.82 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…f84fbacked Raptors | 33c | 2,700$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3253backed Heat | 67c | 2,700$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed Heat | 64c | 2,688$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Raptors | 36c | 2,437$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 63c | 2,415$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.5 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Heat | 64c | 2,405$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.63 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 67c | 2,263$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.79 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 65c | 2,161$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.47 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Heat | 64c | 2,160$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 1c | 2,093$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…173abacked Heat | 68c | 2,001$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Raptors | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Heatthis page
- Raptors vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Raptors vs. Heat: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.