NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd8d4ef0a0542d0e14162a432f2b7cc851b63f70c024a532f5ee44c6f7ca121

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Timberwolves
Resolved: Dec 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,098,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,149,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,098,551 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves	12c	142,128$17,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,396.34	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies	27c	119,973$32,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,580.55	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Grizzlies	30c	99,000$29,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,300	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	29c	95,498$27,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,184.86	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves	71c	88,872$62,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,654.75	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves	60c	80,000$48,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,199.98	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies	32c	78,125$24,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,291.86	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf98d…7adbbacked Grizzlies	27c	77,259$20,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,728.44	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves	73c	70,000$51,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,100	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies	29c	66,999$19,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,569.61	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies	29c	61,367$17,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,635.1	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Grizzlies	45c	58,206$26,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,205.67	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Grizzlies	29c	53,763$15,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,171.85	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies	32c	45,616$14,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,205.83	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves	71c	44,383$31,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,511.87	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	60c	42,405$25,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,414.43	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Timberwolves	74c	41,872$30,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,963.11	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	73c	40,324$29,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,254.65	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Timberwolves	73c	37,808$27,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,600.16	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies	28c	34,799$9,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,885.52	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies	48c	30,456$14,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,714.47	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves	67c	29,040$19,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,485.91	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves	73c	27,305$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves	47c	27,301$12,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,820.66	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	72c	26,628$19,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,072.15	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Timberwolves	43c	22,682$9,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,773.38	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves	51c	22,438$11,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,404.55	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Timberwolves	55c	20,829$11,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,439.73	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies	54c	19,863$10,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,042.85	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	40c	18,909$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,649.91	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Timberwolves	48c	18,061$8,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,715.75	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Grizzlies	68c	17,422$11,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,635.56	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Grizzlies	50c	17,225$8,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,654.92	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Timberwolves	73c	17,200$12,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,556	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Grizzlies	28c	17,200$4,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,384	178	61.2%109 W · 69 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Grizzlies	30c	16,559$4,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,591.52	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Grizzlies	60c	16,436$9,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,496.36	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies	29c	15,075$4,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,723.18	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies	32c	15,051$4,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,208.87	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Grizzlies	28c	15,000$4,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,874.96	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies	28c	15,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,799.95	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Timberwolves	73c	14,389$10,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,534.57	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+13.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Grizzlies	27c	14,135$3,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,318.43	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies	29c	13,100$3,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,300.78	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Timberwolves	39c	13,059$5,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,147.67	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies	27c	12,212$3,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,902.69	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Timberwolves	71c	11,200$7,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,962.87	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies	27c	11,060$3,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,031.56	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies	27c	11,023$3,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,020.89	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies	54c	10,952$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,052.04	386	49.5%191 W · 195 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Grizzlies	28c	10,505$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,604.87	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves	1c	10,457$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.21	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves	41c	10,362$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,300	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves	73c	10,000$7,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,300	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Grizzlies	68c	10,000$6,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,250	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves	71c	10,000$7,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,099.97	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves	26c	9,906$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.13	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63e8…abbbbacked Timberwolves	1c	9,610$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	312	51.9%162 W · 150 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	71c	9,018$6,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,441.07	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves	43c	8,880$3,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,829.57	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Grizzlies	27c	8,333$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,083.33	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Timberwolves	72c	8,000$5,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,759.99	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Timberwolves	40c	7,997$3,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,198.69	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves	38c	7,903$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,994.19	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies	27c	7,885$2,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,777.34	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d5…e2c1backed Timberwolves	73c	7,867$5,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,742.8	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Grizzlies	24c	7,828$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,927.49	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Timberwolves	67c	7,828$5,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,211.35	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies	29c	7,757$2,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,544.7	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves	11c	7,606$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.57	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	66c	7,474$4,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,912.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves	55c	7,439$4,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,060	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves	1c	7,142$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.92	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…176dbacked Timberwolves	68c	7,061$4,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,801.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d5…6575backed Grizzlies	61c	6,782$4,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,651.55	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Timberwolves	74c	6,646$4,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,918.28	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Timberwolves	74c	6,460$4,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,780.12	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves	64c	6,329$4,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,050.83	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves	1c	6,197$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.97	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves	71c	6,097$4,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,349.32	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Timberwolves	73c	6,008$4,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,385.66	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8729…03d6backed Timberwolves	45c	5,512$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,480.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,650	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Grizzlies	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Timberwolves	66c	5,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Timberwolves	77c	4,843$3,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,728	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ab…03c3backed Timberwolves	68c	4,706$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Timberwolves	72c	4,694$3,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves	72c	4,650$3,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,333.91	309	47.6%147 W · 162 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves	74c	4,567$3,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,363.06	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	68c	4,492$3,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.39	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Grizzlies	42c	4,401$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560.77	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Timberwolves	28c	4,330$1,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…7c93backed Timberwolves	71c	4,279$3,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,055.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves	71c	4,206$2,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,972.83	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies	26c	4,168$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,066.49	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Timberwolves	70c	4,050$2,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,828	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Timberwolves	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Timberwolves	68c	3,749$2,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.18	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Timberwolves	77c	3,710$2,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,849.28	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesthis page
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event