NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab73ab15986b15337df3fffec4765bb08263a9bab0ea03cad0662c7de4584777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 81,853$42,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,208.48 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 71,550$34,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,344 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 11,692$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 7,665$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Timberwolves | 47c | 6,132$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.03 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,254$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.8 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.25 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,891$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,854$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.75 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,258$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.63 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,142$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,666$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,440$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,264$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,017$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,997$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…cc80backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,945$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,854$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,831$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.06 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,826$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.96 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,560$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,508$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.69 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,354$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.22 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,255$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 987.8$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 887.76$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Grizzlies | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Timberwolves | 47c | 677.04$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 52c | 549$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Grizzlies | 54c | 491.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Grizzlies | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 327.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…541cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 299.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Grizzlies | 50c | 246.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 243.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 47c | 237.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Timberwolves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 212.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 201.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…af33backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Timberwolves | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Grizzlies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Grizzlies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 161.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…8079backed Grizzlies | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf994…49d5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 54c | 128.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…13a7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Timberwolves | 49c | 102.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 101.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…6831backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Grizzlies | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Timberwolves | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…675bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 98.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 50c | 92.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Timberwolves | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 82.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Timberwolves | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Grizzlies | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 72.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…dcecbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…4a9ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.