NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb91f4fb731db91122b3895af188ffd2c0b29247b400876da1de9caf47b19c2d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 46c | 27,579$12,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,818.5 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 12,612$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,733.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 55c | 9,182$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 7,476$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.99 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Over | 54c | 6,107$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.76 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…8b49backed Over | 49c | 5,378$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 51c | 5,126$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.7 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 52c | 3,616$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.68 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 3,455$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 56c | 3,423$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.3 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 3,220$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 3,013$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.46 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 53c | 2,336$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.32 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 53c | 1,944$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.87 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,045$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 777.08$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 54c | 503.46$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.59 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Under | 61c | 485$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 61c | 446.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 353.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 54c | 335.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 299.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 281.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 49c | 214$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 202.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 54c | 183.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 175.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 44c | 128.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 124.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 50c | 96.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Under | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 44c | 91.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Over | 45c | 84.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 74.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 62.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Over | 42c | 57.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6d88backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 52c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Under | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…b648backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…6a83backed Under | 54c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Over | 46c | 23.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Under | 54c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…03b0backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…89e0backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.