TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5acc…89e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$195.96
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.97
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.95
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6.8
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.36
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.46
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.84
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.44
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.44
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.45
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$6.63
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.78
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.