Fifa International · resolved market
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1623cae8a427745d20cc0b6b0aa60f56267fc456f714002dddfd6f0c46cb9268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 3c | 1,135$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 51c | 839.69$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.31 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 55c | 823.32$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.49 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 45c | 671.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 48c | 522.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.75 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…eeb2backed Yes | 39c | 420.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 36c | 404.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 78c | 369.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 64c | 347.58$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…8c02backed No | 60c | 336.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 61c | 296.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…876cbacked Yes | 35c | 270$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Yes | 42c | 264.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked No | 59c | 255.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 51c | 245.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed No | 60c | 245.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…1bcbbacked Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…f48dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…7d26backed Yes | 49c | 203.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 68c | 138.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 42c | 103.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…c9c8backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…9978backed Yes | 46c | 70.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 47c | 52.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…016dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…7581backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…e22fbacked Yes | 43c | 48.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…a9dfbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…b45fbacked Yes | 43c | 44.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…d3e0backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 25c | 42.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…08dabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 50c | 36.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…3428backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…bbddbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…adb6backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…89e0backed No | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.