TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8db…bbdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$127.78
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+53.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$144.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$136
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$249.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$439.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.85
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$120
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+124.4%+$87.07
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$166
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+535.9%+$171.5
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+80.5%+$57.99
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+47.8%+$207.86
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.8%+$14.13
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.8%+$37.97
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$26.04
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+139.9%+$15.39
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+52.9%+$14.29
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+166.6%+$21.49
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+244.8%+$35.84
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.88
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.4%+$9.6
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.3%+$13.4
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+283.8%+$31.22
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$233.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$166
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.97
Will FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$97.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$73.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$94.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-81.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.25
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Europe World Cup Qualifiers Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+48%+$9.6
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.2
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+183.9%+$58.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+25.9%+$7.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 160k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.