TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,479,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,479,589 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked 76ers9c540,000$49,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,385.4243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers2c98,091$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.711,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed 76ers9c59,997$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.71,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers9c40,273$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed 76ers9c38,966$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.2647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers9c35,863$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.024,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked 76ers9c32,923$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.7220744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers8c27,535$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.7972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked 76ers8c27,074$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.9129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed 76ers10c23,010$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.981650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed 76ers11c18,355$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.529250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed 76ers10c16,866$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6354438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x655b…677fbacked 76ers1c16,451$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed 76ers8c14,174$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.9427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed 76ers11c13,332$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed 76ers8c12,960$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.781643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers9c12,514$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.2986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers10c12,448$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked 76ers9c12,202$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.172556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed 76ers0c11,650$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers9c11,573$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.9265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers8c11,364$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.141,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers9c10,400$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked 76ers0c10,265$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.571234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers9c10,261$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.1993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked 76ers8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80023648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers10c9,352$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.152,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed 76ers2c9,232$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.97412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers9c8,803$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.043,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed 76ers7c7,742$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked 76ers9c7,703$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.2723348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked 76ers10c7,263$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.2416440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers10c7,100$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked 76ers9c6,991$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.171323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked 76ers10c6,900$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6905032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed 76ers0c6,848$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed 76ers9c6,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9912657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked 76ers9c5,778$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked 76ers10c5,656$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers8c5,586$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed 76ers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed 76ers5c4,564$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.819220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f8…d7d3backed 76ers9c4,500$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers9c4,399$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.872,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed 76ers9c4,244$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38212541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed 76ers9c4,074$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5955346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked 76ers5c3,865$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9916139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…5022backed 76ers6c3,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers7c3,277$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.391,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked 76ers10c3,200$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30811156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers10c3,097$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7395641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked 76ers8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed 76ers9c2,757$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27a…d3fbbacked 76ers10c2,551$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c8a…05e0backed 76ers9c2,537$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed 76ers8c2,404$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.424841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked 76ers9c2,389$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed 76ers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed 76ers3c1,809$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed 76ers1c1,807$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.927142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8150…e7f1backed 76ers9c1,704$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.365632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…be4ebacked 76ers10c1,635$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8072…0ef3backed 76ers4c1,596$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked 76ers5c1,486$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked 76ers9c1,400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked 76ers10c1,390$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed 76ers9c1,354$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7742335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed 76ers11c1,351$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14624849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed 76ers10c1,300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 76ers9c1,256$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers10c1,248$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.551,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked 76ers10c1,164$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205560%33 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked 76ers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers6c1,053$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.691,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed 76ers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb98…0f80backed 76ers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked 76ers5c999.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558320.5%17 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed 76ers10c999.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed 76ers9c977$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b9…8142backed 76ers3c900.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.872114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe7…0f1fbacked 76ers11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed 76ers9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873f…a7cfbacked 76ers10c899.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9911329.2%33 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked 76ers10c850$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f96…87f3backed 76ers9c829.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.693912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers5c799.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed 76ers9c799.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed 76ers10c796.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6385248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed 76ers4c768.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995117.6%9 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed 76ers9c749.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6973131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed 76ers10c749$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.911229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x892d…ab96backed 76ers10c746$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.62128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed 76ers10c700.01$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81e3…f2c9backed 76ers11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed 76ers10c680$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers6c648.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.032,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked 76ers9c644.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589637.5%36 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.