NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b11bcd3124696a1f4e3599d97b143c1302c82fdee06075c2f429370d8687e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,491 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 9,934$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 7,234$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 6,304$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 2,897$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…5f60backed Over | 51c | 1,825$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,697$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,671$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,477$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,464$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 51c | 1,441$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.01 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…b6dfbacked Under | 49c | 1,275$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 30c | 1,051$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.34 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 922.41$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 56c | 893.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.21 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Under | 48c | 841.67$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 50c | 801.62$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.81 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 742.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…5445backed Under | 49c | 699$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 417.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 63c | 406$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 48c | 394.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 55c | 362.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 57c | 352.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 294.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Under | 48c | 207.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 206.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 166.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 163.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cbcebacked Over | 51c | 149$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 148.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 138.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 119.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 51c | 102.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 39c | 82.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 52c | 61.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 50c | 60.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 49c | 56.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 56c | 53.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 52.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 47c | 46.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 45c | 34.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over | 52c | 33.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 52c | 32.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 31.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 62c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5this page
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)76ers won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)76ers won
- Thunder vs. 76ersThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.