TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,558 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c3,770$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Under54c3,148$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.6914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over54c3,038$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.6711243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c2,895$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under44c1,868$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over58c1,645$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.7326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3508…39b5backed Under48c1,540$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7391040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under50c1,513$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over53c1,349$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.5549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,093$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c1,050$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.411,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under46c733.33$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7916139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72d…449dbacked Over49c679.8$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over53c655.1$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under50c610$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over53c590$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Under53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.111957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over74c540.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9711873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over47c527.7$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6829243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c517.9$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c505.4$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c481.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.973,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c462.82$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.721,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c442.67$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under28c436.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12621049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Under4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c294.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over60c200.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10233360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c194.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.871,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under42c188.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9919166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c184.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under40c183.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2818052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c183.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.631,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c179.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over70c179.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8812558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c172.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over63c169.22$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c157.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.42,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under44c153.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8292…6447backed Over49c141$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8544…27e9backed Under48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over66c97.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over68c95.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8718261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under28c92.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under41c92.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7922643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under44c92.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over60c91.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over63c85.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8636154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over60c83.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.476747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over49c82.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.864544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under46c76.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8953339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4d…ea81backed Under53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under41c69.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.817142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over68c65.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8414157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under42c63.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5842352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over51c59.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under52c58.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under37c57.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under44c56.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0220049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over70c56.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Over44c56.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x817c…fb78backed Under31c56.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc08…ed4fbacked Over55c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3fd…682dbacked Under44c50.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…f55cbacked Under44c50.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over62c49.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6177549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19da…8cd3backed Over61c48.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.979551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under45c44.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under47c43.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2452052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over50c42.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2123651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.355444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0820…867cbacked Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…6345backed Under51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under51c35.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.913947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f4…08b7backed Over61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9632752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe177…c731backed Under53c33.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Under44c31.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xac77…c430backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.722456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Over50c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.544332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf02d…e420backed Over56c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.224240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.