NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab38ce5c47a3ffde21996d5aab9c892bfb62c8a97add1e9d6f0668cb948d053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 404,206$208,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,470.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 145,682$70,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,833.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 106,657$52,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,128.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 104,990$50,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,595.02 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 49,501$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,750.35 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.75 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 10,761$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.11 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 8,798$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.76 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 50c | 6,623$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 5,912$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 5,648$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.91 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 4,565$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 4,464$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.85 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 4,439$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 49c | 3,410$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.89 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 52c | 2,650$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 2,627$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.53 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 52c | 2,505$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.59 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 31c | 2,153$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 49c | 2,102$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.21 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 2,054$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.94 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,740$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,594$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.09 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,305$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Over | 51c | 1,203$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,006$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 959.59$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 941.29$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 895.03$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Under | 70c | 839.97$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 704.31$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.73 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 698.01$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.41 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 50c | 638.35$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.13 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 620$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 30c | 574.33$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 54c | 555.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…34f3backed Under | 49c | 535.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 46c | 511.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.2 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 50c | 484.91$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 51c | 483.52$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 52c | 473.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 398.34$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 356.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 50c | 343.74$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 342.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 318$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 311.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 49c | 263.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 232.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 51c | 231$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 230.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 216.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 199.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 48c | 195.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 52c | 193.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 190.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 161.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 158.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 156.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 145$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 57c | 123.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Over | 50c | 118.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 51c | 118.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 60c | 100.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…3ca9backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 98.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 98.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…42acbacked Over | 51c | 98.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5this page
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)76ers won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)76ers won
- Thunder vs. 76ersThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.