TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,151 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked 76ers52c52,728$27,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,418.4820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder48c50,002$24,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,00143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers52c38,462$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.9817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers51c30,188$15,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,515.611,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder48c26,729$12,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,899.0566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Thunder48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder49c9,747$4,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,971.1923147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.041,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder48c4,166$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.321,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder48c3,738$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Thunder49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2751,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed 76ers52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72813857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder50c1,378$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.041,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.1664944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Thunder49c1,068$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6837755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Thunder48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6624050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder70c1,035$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked 76ers29c958.18$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8116139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed 76ers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers38c576.29$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.551,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder52c505.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Thunder49c436.29$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5118648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Thunder48c367.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9921049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder48c297.1$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder65c234.03$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder48c218.61$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Thunder50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked 76ers52c194.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.977145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed 76ers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Thunder55c181.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.38456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Thunder49c179.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5142352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder62c132.74$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed 76ers53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers51c127.6$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers47c123.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder64c117.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.71,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed 76ers41c102.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x471f…5187backed Thunder49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked 76ers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Thunder49c97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9911847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Thunder49c92.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9525049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb5…2112backed Thunder67c74.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.868461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder54c67.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.721,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked 76ers53c66.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9915649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Thunder48c63.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9550948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed 76ers54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Thunder47c62.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0734047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Thunder49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2251946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Thunder49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Thunder48c59.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1439943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…42eebacked 76ers52c56.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Thunder72c54.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3320049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Thunder49c52.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7121550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Thunder48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0810462.5%65 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Thunder47c50.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ce…ed4ebacked Thunder49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 76ers48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Thunder49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked 76ers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Thunder49c37.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Thunder72c36.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2139055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Thunder48c31.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39d…a06dbacked 76ers52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Thunder48c29.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.041,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Thunder48c25.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3829848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Thunder48c23.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…6dd8backed Thunder49c22.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked 76ers50c21.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7213857.2%79 W · 59 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Thunder49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7112161.2%74 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Thunder49c20.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4523650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3868…74f9backed Thunder50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.