TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$534,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,432 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c215,442$116,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,026.6387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c70,791$32,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,697.354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over49c61,799$30,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,517.5232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c48,832$22,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,885.461,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c46,534$21,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,718.321,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over54c25,001$13,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,578.781,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under45c19,008$8,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,553.7966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa350…7119backed Under51c18,329$9,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,348425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c14,691$7,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,051.6660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c14,609$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c9,433$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c8,562$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5733…630abacked Under51c8,159$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,161.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c6,896$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51718349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c6,113$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.4634854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c5,725$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c8…dd31backed Under47c4,701$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…ee11backed Under51c4,355$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa01d…bc45backed Under51c4,255$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1324…56c5backed Under51c3,984$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ba…707abacked Under51c3,877$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e7…846ebacked Under51c3,808$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a63…9ba2backed Under51c3,721$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c3,714$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9138…4dc0backed Under51c3,544$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287b…7694backed Under51c3,525$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e35…8ac6backed Under51c3,511$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd3…49bdbacked Under51c3,502$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c60…e2acbacked Over49c3,458$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4969…57a3backed Over49c3,402$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf77c…d870backed Under51c3,365$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2445…f02bbacked Under51c3,358$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…2c79backed Under51c3,205$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c3,194$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.843,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4188…3a80backed Under51c3,158$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…ef71backed Under51c3,158$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f30…0e1bbacked Under51c3,069$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3d…a37cbacked Under51c2,901$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf0…b4eabacked Under51c2,801$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,730$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under51c2,549$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under51c2,539$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.0517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef07…7740backed Over49c2,522$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29fe…daf0backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.0940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under52c2,446$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.5910448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1801…1952backed Under51c2,422$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7288…6a13backed Over49c2,406$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf50…6867backed Under51c2,399$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ce…0b99backed Over49c2,366$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f5…5daabacked Under51c2,365$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9e…3a9abacked Under51c2,365$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd24a…32c4backed Over49c2,274$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17dd…c615backed Over49c2,268$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4982…2d3fbacked Over49c2,222$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2882…b19abacked Over49c2,200$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5082…910ebacked Over49c2,188$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb37…99d1backed Under51c2,188$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…cdafbacked Over49c2,178$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c2,155$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe77…2eefbacked Over49c2,145$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ca…f969backed Over49c2,136$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x770e…a51dbacked Under51c2,128$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2032…ff62backed Over49c2,125$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under47c2,111$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.2726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c2,096$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…fffcbacked Over49c2,088$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf0…2677backed Under51c2,040$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x894e…d86ebacked Under51c2,023$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb4…90f5backed Over49c2,020$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9084…5965backed Over49c2,016$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3684…d96dbacked Over49c2,012$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfc…4d60backed Over49c2,011$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811d…7fe8backed Over49c2,008$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd910…410fbacked Under51c1,994$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3b…43b2backed Over49c1,988$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2df7…062ebacked Over49c1,972$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3b…b99abacked Over49c1,968$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…cbccbacked Over49c1,966$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…ce82backed Over49c1,958$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9a…3976backed Over49c1,922$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300f…4172backed Over50c1,914$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd365…4100backed Over49c1,899$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1bf3backed Under51c1,886$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x266e…92fdbacked Over49c1,855$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…8400backed Over49c1,844$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe903…4584backed Under51c1,840$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x416f…85d5backed Under51c1,839$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a49…7919backed Over49c1,828$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3927…aef4backed Over49c1,823$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff4…2e7fbacked Over49c1,822$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f8…a2f7backed Over49c1,811$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf155…f2c9backed Under51c1,803$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c0…9ac1backed Under51c1,801$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0144…3d84backed Over49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc1…a0efbacked Over49c1,788$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac68…d031backed Over49c1,723$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over75c1,713$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5415863.9%101 W · 57 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.