NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c13b1de8c10aad6d512f0c06f14c13eb889b37e12070de7809dd494f24b5fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,010 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0823…ae8cbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,153$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 2,742$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 1,709$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.65 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,697$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…5c7bbacked Over | 55c | 1,672$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…65a5backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…46b2backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 23c | 1,156$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 52c | 327.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 42c | 182.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…ed41backed Over | 67c | 144.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 141.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 40c | 137.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 131.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 119.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 39c | 117.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 112.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 12c | 105.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 40c | 104.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 104.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 85.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 61c | 82.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 56c | 80.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 38c | 80.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Over | 59c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 78.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 41c | 63.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 62.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 41c | 52.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…cc57backed Over | 50c | 47.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 37c | 37.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 44c | 36.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…b31bbacked Over | 55c | 36.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…89c0backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Over | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Over | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 68c | 28.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Under | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Over | 60c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Over | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 61c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…2d89backed Over | 63c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 60c | 24.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 24.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 64c | 23.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Over | 77c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5this page
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)76ers won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)76ers won
- Thunder vs. 76ersThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.