NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc987460983ef39be2e196c54a599916f36629ddab5c62ded35aae11a307c584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,577 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers | 47c | 79,947$37,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,780.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Thunder | 50c | 50,400$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 52c | 34,003$17,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,297.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed 76ers | 46c | 33,786$15,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,670.73 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 53c | 29,829$15,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,035.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 50c | 26,730$13,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,482.6 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder | 52c | 22,245$11,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,615.85 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e4…84d3backed 76ers | 52c | 22,175$11,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,540 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 49c | 20,523$10,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8e3dbacked Thunder | 53c | 19,605$10,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,214.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…b4cebacked 76ers | 50c | 17,407$8,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers | 50c | 17,029$8,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,451.98 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Thunder | 48c | 16,480$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,569.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 51c | 13,226$6,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…e3bfbacked 76ers | 50c | 13,140$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 54c | 12,759$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.32 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed 76ers | 52c | 12,006$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 46c | 10,831$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…4f03backed 76ers | 50c | 10,186$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…50e7backed 76ers | 50c | 9,995$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a956backed 76ers | 50c | 9,850$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…3f5abacked 76ers | 50c | 9,562$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Thunder | 53c | 9,543$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.21 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…ccd1backed 76ers | 50c | 9,530$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed 76ers | 50c | 9,491$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…98c1backed 76ers | 50c | 9,460$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054f…724fbacked 76ers | 50c | 9,367$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Thunder | 49c | 9,256$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…3becbacked 76ers | 50c | 9,206$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers | 50c | 9,138$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…2a09backed 76ers | 50c | 9,123$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5002…9f56backed 76ers | 50c | 9,050$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…30abbacked 76ers | 50c | 8,975$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…428cbacked Thunder | 50c | 8,890$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x944c…bd22backed 76ers | 50c | 8,803$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…d347backed 76ers | 50c | 8,548$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf615…4d09backed 76ers | 50c | 8,538$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…baf3backed 76ers | 50c | 8,508$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…f862backed Thunder | 50c | 8,425$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…7660backed 76ers | 50c | 8,173$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…3f7bbacked 76ers | 50c | 8,069$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…dc2dbacked 76ers | 50c | 8,046$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…4169backed Thunder | 50c | 7,880$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad5f…2223backed 76ers | 50c | 7,850$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…b161backed 76ers | 50c | 7,742$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers | 51c | 7,580$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…6f15backed Thunder | 50c | 7,420$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…f687backed 76ers | 50c | 7,290$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a7eabacked Thunder | 50c | 7,153$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…b2c8backed 76ers | 50c | 7,134$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers | 51c | 7,092$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 48c | 6,967$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.99 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked 76ers | 52c | 6,614$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.08 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa650…09c6backed Thunder | 50c | 5,967$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…20a0backed Thunder | 50c | 5,966$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…9f19backed Thunder | 50c | 5,927$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…3ee3backed Thunder | 50c | 5,801$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…4634backed Thunder | 50c | 5,738$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked 76ers | 52c | 5,717$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.49 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…a5f7backed Thunder | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…9928backed Thunder | 50c | 5,554$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…2895backed 76ers | 51c | 5,487$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…bb63backed Thunder | 50c | 5,457$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…22e6backed Thunder | 50c | 5,395$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…1973backed Thunder | 50c | 5,233$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…2adcbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,156$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…c095backed 76ers | 50c | 5,074$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…7a8fbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,056$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…f982backed Thunder | 50c | 5,048$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed 76ers | 51c | 4,992$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…5e3fbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,909$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…55cebacked 76ers | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…ae75backed Thunder | 50c | 4,838$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…6d9abacked Thunder | 53c | 4,833$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…090dbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,639$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9e2fbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,631$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…b5abbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,595$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked 76ers | 51c | 4,572$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.3 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a8ddbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,550$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…8818backed 76ers | 50c | 4,432$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 47c | 4,358$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.7 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…73eebacked 76ers | 50c | 4,337$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…042cbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,218$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…2555backed Thunder | 50c | 4,213$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…2b3bbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,170$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a3…dc96backed Thunder | 50c | 4,120$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…eca0backed 76ers | 50c | 4,081$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…05eabacked Thunder | 50c | 4,079$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…4ed7backed Thunder | 50c | 4,058$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…3df7backed Thunder | 50c | 4,052$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…1b9cbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,019$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…a79ebacked Thunder | 50c | 3,974$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa8…2fa5backed 76ers | 49c | 3,956$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…5b23backed 76ers | 50c | 3,944$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…fb96backed Thunder | 50c | 3,906$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…6297backed Thunder | 50c | 3,817$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…1057backed Thunder | 50c | 3,801$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)76ers won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)76ers won
- Thunder vs. 76ersThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.