TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f96…87f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.14
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$4,894.95
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,225.25
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.1
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.69
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.24
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$54.65
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$72.04
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.54
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$251.75
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$362.17
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,149.67
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$486.58
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$339.46
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+129%+$125.08
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+296.6%+$975.79
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+284.6%+$259
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.75
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+82.5%+$449
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.78
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$247
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$41.62
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$68.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$306.24
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.65
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.72
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$356.66
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$135.31
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.75
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.27
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.84
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.85
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.25
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+556.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+556.5%+$1,072.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston College vs. Stanfordbacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.