MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b9a755e2fafe0af637199ef21af92e297eb0d8cbeff302f42bb2d4ceb3eeb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Rays, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 40c | 10,000$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.31 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 61c | 9,967$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cubs | 40c | 7,570$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.95 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cubs | 60c | 4,544$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.1 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 4c | 4,045$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 60c | 3,736$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 60c | 3,394$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 40c | 3,338$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.39 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 47c | 2,398$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 59c | 1,909$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 60c | 1,529$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.97 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 59c | 1,506$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.66 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Rays | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 47c | 1,077$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Cubs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 39c | 939.96$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.59 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Rays | 41c | 868$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 60c | 766.83$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 39c | 686$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 60c | 666$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 48c | 641.74$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 61c | 621$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rays | 39c | 547$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 11c | 541.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Cubs | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 59c | 437$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Cubs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 49c | 294.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs | 80c | 284.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 47c | 284.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Cubs | 37c | 268.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 41c | 256.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Rays | 46c | 250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cubs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cubs | 24c | 224.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 42c | 192.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rays | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Rays | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Rays | 49c | 129.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rays | 40c | 123.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cubs | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rays | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked Cubs | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Rays | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Cubs | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Cubs | 61c | 85.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cubs | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Cubs | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Cubs | 46c | 65.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Cubs | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Cubs | 36c | 59.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rays | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cubs | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rays | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Rays | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 63c | 46.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cubs | 47c | 45.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Rays | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Rays | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Cubs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…93e6backed Cubs | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Cubs | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Rays | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Rays | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1352backed Cubs | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…4d63backed Cubs | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Cubs | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Cubs | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Cubsthis page
- Rays vs. Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.