TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1956…1352

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$26
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$16.37
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Reds vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Guardians vs. Raysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Aces vs. Stormbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.