MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe776e1fab5cea2abf3f7bb536957ab058ab39e847a3c95543c8601094bbcf7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Mariners, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 54c | 31,852$17,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,693.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 40c | 27,910$11,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,204.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Royals | 54c | 21,665$11,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,989.17 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mariners | 46c | 18,000$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 62c | 10,254$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.51 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 53c | 8,221$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.85 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Royals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 62c | 4,353$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 52c | 2,795$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 70c | 2,675$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners | 80c | 2,526$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.76 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 25c | 2,171$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.89 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Royals | 55c | 2,136$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.36 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Mariners | 37c | 1,909$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 53c | 1,631$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.6 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Royals | 80c | 1,622$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.35 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 66c | 1,033$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mariners | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.33 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Royals | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mariners | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 31c | 814.7$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 41c | 764.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Royals | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Mariners | 36c | 705.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mariners | 30c | 617$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 47c | 599.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mariners | 47c | 517.79$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Mariners | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 53c | 496$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Royals | 51c | 484.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Royals | 51c | 470.6$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 55c | 462.41$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Mariners | 38c | 452.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 60c | 435$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Royals | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mariners | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 30c | 406$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Royals | 52c | 400.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 47c | 395.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 48c | 368.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 53c | 338.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 16c | 301.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mariners | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 48c | 296.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…62f3backed Mariners | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 51c | 270.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Royals | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 34c | 261.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 52c | 252.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 40c | 251.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mariners | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mariners | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Mariners | 47c | 221.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 60c | 219.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 24c | 210$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Mariners | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Mariners | 48c | 207.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Royals | 53c | 204$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Mariners | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Royals | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Royals | 67c | 154.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mariners | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Royals | 16c | 127.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 61c | 123.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Mariners | 48c | 117.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Royals | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Royals | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Mariners | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Mariners | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Royals | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Royalsthis page
- NRFI: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.