MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93fe6b4b4eb07abfad499b7c4d8281cb31046ad21080a621ece8e19d17f6d7b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Rockies, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockies | 27c | 8,464$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.22 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 73c | 3,533$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 73c | 3,169$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Giants | 72c | 1,144$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.8 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rockies | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 74c | 999.51$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 72c | 630.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rockies | 21c | 480.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies | 26c | 357.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Rockies | 28c | 314.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockies | 13c | 297.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 73c | 281.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Giants | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Rockies | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 73c | 218$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Giants | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rockies | 12c | 178.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies | 27c | 172$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Giants | 74c | 166.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf761…dc39backed Rockies | 27c | 166.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Rockies | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rockies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…e0edbacked Rockies | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Rockies | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…081bbacked Giants | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Giants | 73c | 82.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Giants | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Giants | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Giants | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Giants | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Giants | 74c | 45.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Giants | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…9ed8backed Rockies | 28c | 38.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Giants | 72c | 38.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…dfeebacked Giants | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…743cbacked Giants | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Giants | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1352backed Giants | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…a869backed Giants | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…5b3dbacked Giants | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…dff4backed Giants | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…02f3backed Giants | 74c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Giantsthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.