TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf938…743c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$9.66
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.78
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Reds vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Bills (-14.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$253.04
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$21
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.