TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb37c…164ebacked White Sox41c8,906$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.512955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Twins59c8,613$5,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,081.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox79c8,222$6,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.4483248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed White Sox40c7,049$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.5421847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins41c6,636$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.621,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins57c3,212$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.932,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins29c2,954$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins58c2,882$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.6463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Twins11c2,880$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4517243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox41c2,701$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.5750843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked White Sox75c2,671$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.615763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Twins58c2,112$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.8498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Twins58c1,988$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.195352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins22c1,841$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.52,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked White Sox31c1,821$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.347745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox42c1,759$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.1957744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins57c1,749$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.451,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox42c1,715$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.611,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed White Sox14c1,651$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.3212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Twins59c1,573$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2717156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins58c1,566$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.561,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked White Sox79c1,471$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8943946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Twins74c1,401$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.666845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox42c1,400$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.021,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed White Sox41c1,140$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.612436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Twins68c1,118$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.71,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed White Sox42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox41c780.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.7844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox42c775$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox42c714$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.121,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed White Sox72c643.34$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8721656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed White Sox42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox14c570.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.416,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Twins59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Twins58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2909842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox42c490.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3545…741dbacked White Sox43c461.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.742030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox43c454.96$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1640144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2363,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Twins56c398.1$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9432651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins57c393.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox58c383.17$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins57c355.53$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.651,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…a2b4backed Twins59c345.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e17…04bfbacked Twins58c332.93$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Twins24c329.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Twins34c299$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ea…f31cbacked White Sox41c265.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.42737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed White Sox43c251$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.079240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox44c234.41$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.271,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed White Sox43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox43c230.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.542,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed White Sox42c226.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1148…dc44backed Twins58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed White Sox42c202.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3878454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox10c201.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.481,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox43c186$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0224346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox41c184.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins48c179.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.624,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox42c177.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.951,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Twins57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins29c174.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Twins58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Twins58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Twins58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5383…cb45backed White Sox50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.956048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Twins59c133.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.618148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox42c126.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked White Sox42c120.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.034434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed White Sox43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2823248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox42c109$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.222,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Twins47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed White Sox70c105.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.596,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed White Sox11c102.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2627213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…6644backed Twins59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Twins15c101.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Twins30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Twins56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5656440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked White Sox42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2422351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Twins73c90.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.052744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Twins56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6282…e8f2backed White Sox13c88.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.117427%20 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2276…307bbacked White Sox42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.333860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac3e…9decbacked Twins59c81.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Twins27c75.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4333137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Twins77c68.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Twins37c68.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9528949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…8d9fbacked Twins59c63.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8299backed White Sox42c62.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Twins33c59.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe708…e61cbacked White Sox42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.524647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041c…88c5backed Twins58c53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7418750.3%94 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Twins36c52.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.768530.6%26 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Twins31c51.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.912025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37cd…9547backed White Sox42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Twins59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Twins21c49.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4720138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.