MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba14273e4ad5d51c4f27196e57734587b9df9f2a63d92572e460fa0456070b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Angels, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,283,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,266,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,283,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 30c | 854,412$256,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256,301.6 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 70c | 259,589$181,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,876.72 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels | 30c | 236,719$71,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,015.58 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Brewers | 70c | 193,127$135,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,938.18 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Brewers | 70c | 118,600$83,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,580 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 70c | 82,500$57,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers | 70c | 76,747$53,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,092.94 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 70c | 75,000$52,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 70c | 69,000$48,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 70c | 50,791$35,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,237.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels | 29c | 41,217$11,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,952.97 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brewers | 70c | 40,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 70c | 29,840$20,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,951.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Brewers | 71c | 28,557$20,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,281.53 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 70c | 27,774$19,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,253.65 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Angels | 30c | 27,329$8,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,294.37 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Angels | 30c | 25,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 71c | 21,556$15,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251.41 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 70c | 18,021$12,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Brewers | 70c | 16,745$11,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.52 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Brewers | 70c | 11,944$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.2 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 16c | 9,999$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.56 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 70c | 6,016$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Angels | 29c | 5,021$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Brewers | 70c | 4,661$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.16 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Angels | 28c | 4,265$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Brewers | 70c | 3,493$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Angels | 29c | 3,389$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.43 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 10c | 3,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Brewers | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Brewers | 71c | 2,978$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Angels | 30c | 2,427$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.12 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers | 71c | 2,362$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.98 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Brewers | 71c | 2,276$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Angels | 30c | 1,395$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.57 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Angels | 16c | 1,184$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Angels | 29c | 1,057$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.53 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 2c | 1,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 30c | 999.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Brewers | 71c | 885.51$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 71c | 771.01$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Angels | 14c | 727.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Brewers | 71c | 710.69$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 76c | 635.19$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 70c | 629$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 29c | 618.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Brewers | 71c | 601$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 70c | 571$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Brewers | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Brewers | 70c | 547.39$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Angels | 9c | 533.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Brewers | 71c | 425$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 71c | 391.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 71c | 355.34$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Brewers | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Angels | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angels | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Brewers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Brewers | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 71c | 283$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Brewers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Brewers | 71c | 274.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Brewers | 70c | 267.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Brewers | 74c | 257.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 70c | 251.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Angels | 30c | 250.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Angels | 4c | 226.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Angels | 24c | 223.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Angels | 31c | 222.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Brewers | 71c | 207.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 15c | 204.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Angels | 31c | 194.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Brewers | 71c | 191.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Angels | 30c | 191.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…0b66backed Brewers | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Brewers | 71c | 165.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Brewers | 71c | 164.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…17c6backed Angels | 31c | 162.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Angels | 30c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Brewers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Brewers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Brewers | 70c | 123.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Brewers | 71c | 123$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…462bbacked Brewers | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Brewers | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…7027backed Angels | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…b3a6backed Brewers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…9e15backed Angels | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Brewersthis page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.