TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35af…44f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
341
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT17953.6%96 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.79
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.31
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$56.34
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$23.01
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$23.68
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$81.56
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.84
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$56.54
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+488.2%+$346.65
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$54.44
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$56.95
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$21.51
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$56
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$56.95
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$34.03
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$48.19
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$11.08
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.35
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.59
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.21
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$70.5
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$22
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$82.47
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$92.11
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$56.57
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$87
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$22.24
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.45
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Armenia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$10.25
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$90.36
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$54.09
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$10.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$137.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$55.61
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$234.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$56.55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$46.85
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$157.26
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$455
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$56.22
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$33.09
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$29.07
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$45.15
Penguins vs. Blackhawksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$43.08
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$44.51
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47.89
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45.41
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.8
Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.2
Flames vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Hurricanes vs. Sharksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$29.25
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+146.3%+$109.74
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$55.29
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+66%+$170.36
Rangers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.62
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$57.04
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$38.58
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.1%+$86.41
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$32.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$235.97
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$63.59
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$23.73
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$65.35
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.57
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.7
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.08
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$80.2
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$113.73
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.57
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$27.51
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$35.37
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$54.98
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.19
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$166.96
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$123.45
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$164.31
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$56.72
Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$90.91
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.05
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$16.94
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$244
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Sevilla vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.08
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$22.77
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+91.7%+$11.28
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$57.04
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$60.79
Will AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$21.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$111
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$73.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$57.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+32.5%+$21.76
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$55.53
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.64
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.14
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$99.21
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+89.9%+$26.07
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$6.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.5
Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$21.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.8%+$9.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.7%+$28.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$103
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.