NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573aba90ae041b95e9b835f073bfe7eaaa04511d73ed7dc2e5cddce06ff77ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Panthers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,155,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,171,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9b…3d2cbacked Cardinals | 77c | 806,560$618,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,508.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Panthers | 23c | 249,363$57,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,353.49 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Panthers | 23c | 120,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers | 17c | 115,295$19,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,879.36 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Panthers | 24c | 92,000$21,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,860 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Panthers | 24c | 90,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Panthers | 19c | 41,349$7,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,687.71 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cardinals | 75c | 35,433$26,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 23c | 32,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Panthers | 24c | 31,388$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,408.12 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Panthers | 15c | 31,388$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Panthers | 25c | 29,387$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,346.75 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Panthers | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 6c | 19,416$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.65 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 23c | 17,338$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.84 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Panthers | 15c | 15,030$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.1 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 10,619$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 7c | 8,578$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.64 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 5c | 7,414$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.55 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 75c | 6,401$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.03 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 80c | 5,420$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Panthers | 23c | 5,094$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.53 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Panthers | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Panthers | 24c | 5,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 23c | 4,349$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.36 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Panthers | 26c | 4,084$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.84 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Panthers | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Panthers | 21c | 3,622$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Cardinals | 75c | 3,500$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…10a8backed Panthers | 4c | 2,984$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…fcbabacked Cardinals | 77c | 2,727$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 25c | 2,514$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.05 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Panthers | 23c | 2,150$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 24c | 2,056$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Panthers | 10c | 2,042$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 25c | 2,007$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Panthers | 22c | 2,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.67 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Panthers | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Panthers | 24c | 1,950$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Panthers | 27c | 1,930$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.23 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Panthers | 1c | 1,809$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Panthers | 25c | 1,798$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Cardinals | 75c | 1,723$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.67 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Panthers | 17c | 1,612$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Panthers | 20c | 1,490$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Panthers | 25c | 1,452$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Panthers | 25c | 1,341$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 25c | 1,209$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 21c | 1,200$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers | 16c | 1,092$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 15c | 1,056$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Panthers | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Panthers | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Panthers | 12c | 986.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Panthers | 26c | 975$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Panthers | 9c | 939.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…b434backed Panthers | 16c | 916.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals | 74c | 881.09$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 24c | 859.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Cardinals | 75c | 852.52$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.13 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Panthers | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Panthers | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Panthers | 19c | 755.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 17c | 720.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 74c | 694$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Panthers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Panthers | 25c | 631.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Panthers | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Panthers | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panthers | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Panthers | 31c | 533.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers | 23c | 520$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 25c | 519.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Cardinals | 76c | 489.05$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 30c | 478.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Panthers | 14c | 402.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked Panthers | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Panthers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Cardinals | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…e81cbacked Panthers | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…e6c6backed Cardinals | 77c | 324.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Panthers | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Panthers | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers | 25c | 292.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Cardinals | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Cardinals | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Cardinals | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panthers | 17c | 259$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Panthers | 25c | 251.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Panthers | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…d105backed Panthers | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers | 25c | 249.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Cardinals | 75c | 248.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Panthers | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Panthers | 24c | 219.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Cardinals | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Panthers | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.