MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311d621f12df91e5518a700dc752a2c55aa086ea60816cfd8819e5e4a28896d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof White Sox, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox | 40c | 92,194$36,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,690.62 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox | 40c | 33,385$13,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,354.13 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 60c | 32,678$19,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,071.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 61c | 20,677$12,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,064.63 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 60c | 19,223$11,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,689.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed White Sox | 39c | 5,009$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 54c | 3,494$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Guardians | 61c | 3,451$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked White Sox | 54c | 2,765$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.45 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 60c | 2,625$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 63c | 1,991$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 26c | 1,614$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.54 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed White Sox | 41c | 1,435$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.66 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 39c | 1,234$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.26 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 39c | 999.94$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Guardians | 60c | 982$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.8 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed White Sox | 40c | 955$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 74c | 941.43$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 64c | 930.29$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.69 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed White Sox | 39c | 897.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.21 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Guardians | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 39c | 715.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.23 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 39c | 699.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 60c | 656.45$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 6c | 636.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 31c | 601.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 40c | 557.93$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed White Sox | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Guardians | 58c | 434.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Guardians | 73c | 429.1$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 48c | 418.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Guardians | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed White Sox | 8c | 306.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked White Sox | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Guardians | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Guardians | 60c | 256.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Guardians | 60c | 248$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Guardians | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Guardians | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 61c | 242.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Guardians | 61c | 206.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked White Sox | 31c | 203.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed White Sox | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Guardians | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 61c | 183.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Guardians | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 76c | 175.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 40c | 172.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked White Sox | 25c | 165$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…74b4backed White Sox | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Guardians | 54c | 150.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Guardians | 61c | 140.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…0b66backed Guardians | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked White Sox | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked White Sox | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed White Sox | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Guardians | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…0cf9backed Guardians | 61c | 81.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed White Sox | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4f…d43abacked White Sox | 40c | 80.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked White Sox | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Guardians | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Guardians | 78c | 66.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…0ae2backed White Sox | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Guardians | 61c | 61.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…b238backed White Sox | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…e041backed Guardians | 61c | 56.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…c9a5backed White Sox | 40c | 55.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Guardians | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Guardians | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked White Sox | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked White Sox | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…1021backed Guardians | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…380fbacked White Sox | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Guardians | 56c | 44.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Guardians | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 80 | 73.8%59 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Guardians | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 38c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed White Sox | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked White Sox | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Guardians | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…0eb4backed White Sox | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked White Sox | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- White Sox vs. Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Guardians (-1.5)Guardians won
- White Sox vs. Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.