TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64fa…380f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT12547.2%59 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$4.36
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+246%+$36.9
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.13
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.53
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$29.75
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.69
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$5.92
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$24.36
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$12
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mariners vs. Bravesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Rays vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Bruins vs. Avalanchebacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.13
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.61
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+42.9%+$6
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+61.3%+$7.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$117.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. UTEPbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dominic LeBlanc be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$115.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.