TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Twins, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels49c189,496$92,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,763.1138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Twins51c90,857$46,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,337.1935952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Angels75c35,359$26,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,670.8211345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins51c16,652$8,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,492.863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins33c13,286$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.071,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins18c11,235$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.412,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Twins27c10,973$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins51c8,500$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,31548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Twins52c7,210$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.213065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Angels56c5,633$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.5233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins51c4,890$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.91,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Twins53c4,732$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.962864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins52c4,234$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.762,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Twins17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.843554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins35c3,962$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.81,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Angels47c3,731$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.213046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins50c3,320$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6601,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels50c3,300$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins25c2,769$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins25c2,409$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.781,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins2c2,006$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Twins44c1,993$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.7412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Angels72c1,478$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.896,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Twins3c1,167$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Twins26c1,129$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7121847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Angels47c1,023$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54221740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels47c999.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Twins51c975$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2520748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins19c967$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.276,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Twins52c770.78$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.81,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Angels65c613.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.368454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins52c525$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels75c482.2$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.524,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins27c443.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Angels48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6726055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Twins53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins51c284$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Twins51c265.49$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.41,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x887c…e405backed Angels48c245.83$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed Twins15c222$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32516%4 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Twins51c203$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.539240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Twins22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4445732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…cc9abacked Twins10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Twins5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Twins53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Twins53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6424346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Angels48c177.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0899951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Twins52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7835245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Twins54c148$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1856440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Angels48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8314146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Twins53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Twins27c116.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3760052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b70…788bbacked Angels48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Twins50c100.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa8…2071backed Twins52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2659…d77ebacked Twins51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.663627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe837…7b55backed Angels50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Angels49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1b…7d60backed Angels49c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins51c58.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6566250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82f0…b2bebacked Angels48c54.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.173250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…a688backed Angels48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Angels48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Twins55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57245.8%33 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Twins42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Twins43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.616140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5be…9f01backed Angels48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672540%10 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Twins50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1f…8f72backed Angels47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Twins27c38.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2921044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Twins53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x935f…7913backed Twins53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Twins52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.234257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6360…c981backed Twins52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.225255.6%140 W · 112 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a1…7d64backed Angels49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Angels47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.954352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Twins52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.642651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88c…2f53backed Twins52c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5925857%147 W · 111 L+14.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x383b…c4febacked Angels48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.172450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078a…ca98backed Twins52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…4a91backed Twins53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…5be4backed Angels48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Angels45c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Angels45c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd39c…8a14backed Twins43c26.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.423148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…541dbacked Angels49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7531…3f6fbacked Twins53c25.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef6…8437backed Angels49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4661…24d1backed Angels49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Twins53c23.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.582839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Angels45c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6521246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f8…f29cbacked Angels48c22.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.