TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7771…5be4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT13142%55 W · 76 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$20.93
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$16.5
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39.1%+$5.08
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$14
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.62
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.23
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.19
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.93
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.37
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$14.48
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$23.48
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Rays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.43
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Mariners vs. Bravesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Twins vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.09
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$25.5
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$15.08
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.24
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+150%+$31.5
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Sabres vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$13
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$70.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+47.1%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.