MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69fc8325e2525e5cc431ff74ddedab2ba0c4db97776b1d08eb69487303337f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Athletics, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 425,912$217,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,769.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 49c | 390,063$191,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,130.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 49c | 24,423$11,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,967.27 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 58c | 8,518$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.56 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 42c | 8,035$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 47c | 6,969$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 49c | 4,975$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.92 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…ce4dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 2,465$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 59c | 2,385$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Athletics | 50c | 1,496$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Athletics | 50c | 1,449$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 77c | 1,240$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Athletics | 47c | 1,200$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Athletics | 58c | 1,083$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.05 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Athletics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Athletics | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Athletics | 20c | 691.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 52c | 646.38$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.25 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 16c | 607.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 51c | 605.53$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.82 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Athletics | 19c | 433.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Athletics | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Cardinals | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 49c | 368.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Athletics | 43c | 357.61$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 22c | 336.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 65c | 329.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cardinals | 75c | 270$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 68c | 204.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…1da2backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…9819backed Athletics | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Athletics | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…17aabacked Athletics | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…cc67backed Athletics | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Cardinals | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cardinals | 80c | 143.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…130cbacked Cardinals | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…504ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…a786backed Cardinals | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…aea5backed Cardinals | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…68f2backed Cardinals | 50c | 110.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Athletics | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Athletics | 19c | 108.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…d4f6backed Cardinals | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Cardinals | 51c | 100.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Athletics | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Athletics | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Athletics | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Athletics | 45c | 78.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Athletics | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…5907backed Athletics | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…4393backed Cardinals | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Cardinals | 51c | 62.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 49c | 62.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Athletics | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…ace4backed Athletics | 50c | 57.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…fef6backed Cardinals | 51c | 57.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Athletics | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Athletics | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Athletics | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Cardinals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…5be4backed Athletics | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cardinals | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Athletics | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Athletics | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Cardinals | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Cardinals | 54c | 40.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Athletics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4dd3backed Athletics | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Athletics | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…17f1backed Athletics | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Athletics | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Cardinals | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cardinals | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Athletics | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Cardinals | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Athletics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…6116backed Athletics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…951cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 19.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Athletics vs. Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.