TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c68…b1cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT7051.4%36 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST6066.7%40 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.67
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$73.97
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$217.24
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$141.18
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+84.6%+$253.82
Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$11.34
Sun vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.