MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe594cdeca7c2a5a1c25f7ffe022efd23be5aec31b114fed2c12ae4164dfe2cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Cardinals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 65c | 14,326$9,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 71c | 10,029$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.95 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 33c | 6,133$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 67c | 5,873$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Cardinals | 33c | 5,012$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 32c | 5,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 42c | 4,478$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Cardinals | 31c | 3,766$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.44 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Mariners | 67c | 3,156$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 68c | 3,019$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.08 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 15c | 2,454$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 65c | 2,390$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 34c | 2,360$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.84 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 67c | 2,262$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.47 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mariners | 74c | 2,192$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.9 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Cardinals | 8c | 1,527$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cardinals | 32c | 1,508$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Mariners | 69c | 1,441$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.81 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 33c | 1,255$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.14 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,137$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mariners | 34c | 1,051$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.79 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mariners | 67c | 1,004$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.32 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Mariners | 69c | 982.61$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 33c | 979$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.07 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 31c | 950.48$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Cardinals | 34c | 941.24$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Mariners | 67c | 940.88$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners | 66c | 854.03$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.37 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 34c | 799.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 33c | 746$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 33c | 724.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 77c | 698.43$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Mariners | 69c | 616.85$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 67c | 596.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 30c | 594.39$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Cardinals | 7c | 593.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 35c | 574.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Cardinals | 28c | 565.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 36c | 519.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 40c | 502.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.51 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Cardinals | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 43c | 418.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 65c | 403.06$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 70c | 319.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Cardinals | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 31c | 299.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 68c | 291.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 66c | 289$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 273.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 67c | 267.03$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 67c | 255.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Cardinals | 33c | 251.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cardinals | 32c | 240$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 66c | 213.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cardinals | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Mariners | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 61c | 202.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 67c | 163$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Cardinals | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Mariners | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Cardinals | 34c | 147.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mariners | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mariners | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 33c | 138.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…1a71backed Cardinals | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Cardinals | 68c | 116.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 32c | 115.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 67c | 108.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Cardinals | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cardinals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Cardinals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Mariners | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Mariners | 42c | 94.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…7238backed Cardinals | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…1350backed Cardinals | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…525dbacked Cardinals | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…bb20backed Cardinals | 48c | 77.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Mariners | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Mariners | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 80 | 73.8%59 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…5be4backed Cardinals | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Marinersthis page
- Cardinals vs. Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.