MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6bfd9ae1c5a50bbe02278732a7f3bacd1184107d5da80f0921f468a57b07fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Diamondbacks, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 63c | 181,717$113,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,936.48 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 90,502$34,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,390.76 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 53,000$19,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,610 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 32,519$12,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,032 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 29,448$10,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,273.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 14,035$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 13,333$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.21 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Giants | 62c | 11,699$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.62 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 9,860$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Giants | 67c | 9,165$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 7,878$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 6,800$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 65c | 5,451$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.55 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 5,022$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Giants | 63c | 3,314$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 45c | 3,185$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.01 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 51c | 3,107$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 63c | 2,540$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.68 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,424$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 57c | 2,017$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,663$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 65c | 1,344$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.17 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,287$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,255$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.34 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Giants | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 46c | 1,192$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Giants | 73c | 1,188$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,130$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,004$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.48 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 979$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.23 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 830.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants | 62c | 799.97$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 799.52$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 725$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 63c | 634$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 577.31$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 58c | 506.75$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 499.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Giants | 62c | 464.75$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 63c | 396.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 386.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Giants | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Diamondbacks | 13c | 269.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 62c | 265.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Giants | 63c | 265.65$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 264$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 62c | 262$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 63c | 257.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 248.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Giants | 67c | 204.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Giants | 62c | 202.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 180.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 170.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Giants | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 135.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Giants | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 61c | 118.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giants | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 63c | 110.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Giants | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 100.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…b2bebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 88.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Giants | 62c | 86.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…3fbebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Giants | 61c | 73.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 64.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Giants | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Giants | 64c | 57.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Giants | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…3c50backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.