College Football · resolved market
Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b2243953cb173956eb982981d982eb796cbaf7efa83625599a1d9a2865e000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw Stateof Kennesaw State, New Mexico State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed New Mexico State | 23c | 295,705$68,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,012.16 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 69,000$53,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,870 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 45,000$34,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 39,007$30,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,971.61 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 36,389$28,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,369.41 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 27,777$21,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,388.69 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 13,180$10,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.4 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 11,115$8,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.4 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 10,850$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.39 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 8,168$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.74 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 4,901$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.23 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 4,675$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.32 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 1,930$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed New Mexico State | 23c | 1,485$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kennesaw State | 77c | 1,379$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.17 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed New Mexico State | 25c | 1,094$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.03 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 1,071$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico State | 10c | 910$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kennesaw State | 74c | 823.47$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Kennesaw State | 75c | 772.92$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kennesaw State | 79c | 694.81$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked New Mexico State | 3c | 521.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed New Mexico State | 24c | 498.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed New Mexico State | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Kennesaw State | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico State | 18c | 341.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed New Mexico State | 25c | 305.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kennesaw State | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State | 16c | 251.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…9917backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed New Mexico State | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed New Mexico State | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed New Mexico State | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…7dc7backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed Kennesaw State | 79c | 182$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Kennesaw State | 74c | 175$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Mexico State | 19c | 162$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked New Mexico State | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kennesaw State | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…d183backed Kennesaw State | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed New Mexico State | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Kennesaw State | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Kennesaw State | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed New Mexico State | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico State | 24c | 67.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Kennesaw State | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed New Mexico State | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kennesaw State | 77c | 59.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Kennesaw State | 78c | 56.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Kennesaw State | 76c | 52.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked New Mexico State | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico State | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…bb9abacked Kennesaw State | 75c | 31.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Kennesaw State | 74c | 26.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Kennesaw State | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Kennesaw State | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…1369backed Kennesaw State | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico Statethis page
- Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico State: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-8.5)New Mexico State won
- Spread: Kennesaw State (-9.5)New Mexico State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.