TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Twins, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$542,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$534,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins48c329,057$157,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,109.5538043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Angels52c60,583$31,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,503.1644456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Angels52c42,000$21,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,84055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels52c36,546$18,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,985.31,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Twins48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6006547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Angels52c29,616$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,400.2335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Angels52c18,000$9,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3608861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels52c17,085$8,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,884.21,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Angels52c11,568$6,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,015.4733554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels46c10,571$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.869,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2009440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Angels36c9,492$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.481,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins48c9,429$4,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.4933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Angels52c7,175$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,73113065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels43c7,164$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.982,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels52c6,643$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.392,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Angels52c5,816$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Angels52c4,869$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.8610041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Angels14c4,289$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Twins74c3,822$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.659759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels48c3,444$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.111,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Angels46c3,317$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.3611553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Angels50c2,859$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.721847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Angels54c2,334$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.3620747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Twins61c2,100$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.2178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Angels52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins58c1,901$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.6943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Angels52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels54c1,222$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135a…b4edbacked Angels53c1,130$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Twins47c1,128$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9df4…5161backed Twins47c1,122$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…c260backed Angels53c1,119$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Angels52c1,048$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5456747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Twins48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.679354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d1d…5ffabacked Angels10c1,028$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Angels52c1,004$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.0820748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Twins47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53015353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Angels52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Twins46c954.98$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.692339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels51c918.01$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Angels52c897.95$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.931,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Angels52c887.14$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.311,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins46c799.93$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels53c754$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.621,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Angels39c734.02$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.619837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Angels54c658.07$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3614055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins59c641.29$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4116654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Twins48c575$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Angels52c570$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Twins55c500$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.041,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Angels52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Angels51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Twins49c459.49$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.341,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins65c450.86$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.576,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins48c449.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Angels37c428.41$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1213138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels57c426.72$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4770841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Twins48c417.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6226055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Angels52c374$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.721,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Angels54c329.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels53c266$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.831,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…5fc9backed Angels54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Angels52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Twins47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7710041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Twins48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Angels51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10266751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Angels53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6424346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Angels53c183.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf53…3f0dbacked Angels26c182.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angels12c166$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cc…e776backed Twins43c162.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.57936.7%29 W · 50 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Angels50c156.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0215033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8539160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Angels54c139.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6f…56ecbacked Angels58c131.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Twins50c121.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0566448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Twins54c112.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.318446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Twins47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Angels51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Angels51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Angels53c97.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.511,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489f…ce2ebacked Angels52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Angels52c95.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Twins48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.849450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins55c88.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Twins47c84.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2214450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1451…2915backed Twins48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.333551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Twins66c78.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Angels52c66.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.582937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Twins57c66.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins46c57.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1766250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Angels54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307051.4%36 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.