TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36cc…e776

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT7936.7%29 W · 50 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$64.76
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Diamondbacks vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.55
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$45
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$23.6
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.14
League of Legends: Team WE vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.92
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+127.2%+$127.94
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.07
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+82.4%+$39.08
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48.1
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+76%+$23.45
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$13.06
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.