MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b6b1b8dc1d86b46b439b6e46246f5207cc9aa825633f58d528d3caf5b9d4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 52c | 139,906$72,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,312.43 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Athletics | 49c | 71,442$35,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,006.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Astros | 51c | 18,902$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,261.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 52c | 15,262$7,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,325.54 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 54c | 13,031$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics | 0c | 11,389$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 49c | 7,020$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.79 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 48c | 6,400$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…94cfbacked Athletics | 1c | 5,885$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Athletics | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Athletics | 49c | 4,640$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.6 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 48c | 4,053$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.43 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 5c | 3,900$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 48c | 3,300$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Athletics | 48c | 2,699$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 1c | 2,289$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 0c | 2,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Astros | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 5c | 1,812$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 20c | 1,686$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 8c | 1,600$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Astros | 63c | 1,514$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.17 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Athletics | 3c | 1,186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,055$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.95 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Astros | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 47c | 999.95$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 48c | 999.6$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.38 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 37c | 861.72$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.83 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Athletics | 35c | 806.53$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Athletics | 2c | 763.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 53c | 756.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.11 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 21c | 700$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Athletics | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 51c | 699.92$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 49c | 690$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 10c | 641.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Athletics | 48c | 630.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 50c | 586$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Athletics | 48c | 475$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…8ff3backed Athletics | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Athletics | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Astros | 51c | 388.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 68c | 372$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Astros | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Athletics | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Athletics | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked Athletics | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Astros | 54c | 298.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Athletics | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 48c | 272.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 42c | 258.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Athletics | 37c | 240.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 49c | 229$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 51c | 229$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…d456backed Astros | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Athletics | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9886backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…2e6abacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…9ca6backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…2663backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…d260backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…e163backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…59ddbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…7aa6backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Athletics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Athleticsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.