MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a875cad6cd91ff8786a612d5f791fa98cb4d55015157a91b8459027e9c51708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cubs, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,484,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,524,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,484,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 42c | 371,964$154,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,951.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…e5d9backed Cubs | 45c | 295,444$132,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,394.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Cubs | 45c | 206,770$92,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,940.02 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 57c | 185,000$105,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,750 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Brewers | 59c | 170,630$100,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,881.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Brewers | 55c | 165,965$91,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,684.25 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 44c | 113,112$49,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,535.42 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 57c | 100,223$57,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,809.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Brewers | 55c | 90,000$49,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,499.91 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 57c | 90,000$51,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,699.84 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Brewers | 55c | 66,703$36,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,016.46 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 56c | 60,000$33,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,555.56 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Brewers | 75c | 53,752$40,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,701.62 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Brewers | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Brewers | 59c | 36,525$21,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,131.21 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 58c | 25,709$14,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,904.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Cubs | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cubs | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cubs | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.97 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cubs | 43c | 18,996$8,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,168.24 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 55c | 13,560$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Cubs | 43c | 13,000$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Cubs | 42c | 11,138$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Brewers | 56c | 11,000$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Brewers | 58c | 10,002$5,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Cubs | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Brewers | 56c | 6,679$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Brewers | 77c | 5,734$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cubs | 43c | 5,359$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.88 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Cubs | 3c | 5,250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Brewers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Brewers | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Cubs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cubs | 54c | 3,995$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.3 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 56c | 3,970$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cubs | 42c | 3,874$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.05 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f5…787abacked Cubs | 44c | 3,843$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 28c | 3,632$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Brewers | 58c | 3,495$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.92 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Brewers | 59c | 3,483$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.05 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 61c | 3,261$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.25 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 40c | 3,116$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.32 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cubs | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Brewers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.95 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…3c06backed Brewers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…47c3backed Cubs | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 58c | 2,477$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.37 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cubs | 43c | 2,436$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.44 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cubs | 43c | 2,350$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 56c | 2,139$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cubs | 19c | 2,053$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 17c | 2,015$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.68 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Cubs | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Cubs | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Brewers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Cubs | 44c | 1,976$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.38 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 29c | 1,842$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.14 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Brewers | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Brewers | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Cubs | 44c | 1,725$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…c27fbacked Cubs | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Cubs | 12c | 1,657$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…35abbacked Cubs | 44c | 1,586$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…93f9backed Brewers | 57c | 1,586$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Cubs | 42c | 1,536$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.39 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cubs | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…dd04backed Cubs | 1c | 1,390$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 49c | 1,215$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.74 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Brewers | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Brewers | 57c | 1,142$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Brewers | 56c | 1,099$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 52c | 960.29$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Brewers | 52c | 953.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…53d5backed Cubs | 43c | 809.56$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 7c | 771.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 24c | 751.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed Cubs | 43c | 751.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 1c | 750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…6741backed Cubs | 43c | 709.86$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 71c | 660.15$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Cubs | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cubs | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Cubs | 40c | 600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Brewers | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 44c | 569$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 41c | 566.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.39 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Cubs | 21c | 566.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Brewers | 58c | 554.28$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Brewers | 48c | 534.46$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.92 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Brewers | 75c | 517.61$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Cubs | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Brewersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.