MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac81fdf7dbf7b0bab884816f9bf8f9c6e98708dad025c5d76b67f461d583d87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $979,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Yankees | 49c | 405,621$197,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,098.16 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 51c | 161,111$82,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,944.32 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Blue Jays | 51c | 141,113$72,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,519.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 40c | 108,958$43,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,520.55 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 38c | 71,852$27,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,396.03 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 70,735$41,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,724.9 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Yankees | 49c | 61,105$29,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,840.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees | 49c | 51,805$25,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,384.34 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 44,444$22,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,777.56 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 51c | 40,000$20,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,399.88 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 51c | 38,000$19,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,620 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 52c | 37,953$19,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,217.44 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 75c | 24,130$18,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.5 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 22,483$11,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,767.85 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5846backed Blue Jays | 52c | 19,221$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,226.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 47c | 13,517$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 13,208$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…6633backed Yankees | 49c | 11,715$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Blue Jays | 51c | 11,708$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 51c | 10,755$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.94 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yankees | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yankees | 6c | 9,713$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.75 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yankees | 47c | 9,100$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 52c | 6,890$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.06 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 2c | 6,550$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Yankees | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blue Jays | 77c | 5,141$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.09 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Blue Jays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Yankees | 48c | 4,740$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 51c | 4,500$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.51 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 46c | 4,424$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.05 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Blue Jays | 52c | 4,191$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 4,030$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Yankees | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yankees | 15c | 3,774$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 3,727$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Yankees | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Blue Jays | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 67c | 3,285$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.43 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 25c | 3,253$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Blue Jays | 51c | 3,163$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yankees | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 47c | 2,616$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Blue Jays | 74c | 2,544$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,400$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 2,381$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 66c | 2,271$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Blue Jays | 51c | 2,271$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.59 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 2c | 2,199$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yankees | 3c | 2,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 2,080$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.6 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…ef26backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,065$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 51c | 1,974$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yankees | 49c | 1,835$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.01 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Blue Jays | 52c | 1,826$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.49 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Yankees | 48c | 1,550$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…5889backed Yankees | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.93 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Yankees | 41c | 1,495$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Yankees | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 1,428$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.35 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,405$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.22 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,391$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,343$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…55b4backed Yankees | 9c | 1,292$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…6b48backed Yankees | 48c | 1,290$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees | 25c | 1,257$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 6c | 1,230$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…07a4backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,168$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 4c | 1,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,142$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed Yankees | 20c | 1,100$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 48c | 1,065$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yankees | 3c | 1,050$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Yankees | 1c | 1,043$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Yankees | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,026$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Yankees | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Yankees | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Blue Jays | 53c | 962$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.14 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Yankees | 48c | 954.73$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.