MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7872045c07f47257e03b110036fca2d419b3f163f1b6aee23da247a3517f1414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 47c | 63,391$29,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,597.3 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Orioles | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 48c | 29,994$14,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,596.88 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 47c | 16,778$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,892.11 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Orioles | 53c | 15,555$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.14 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 53c | 13,216$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.14 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 36c | 7,130$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.31 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 13c | 6,557$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rays | 78c | 5,570$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.71 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 53c | 5,318$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.79 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Orioles | 2c | 5,236$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…2e94backed Orioles | 54c | 4,013$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…4f17backed Rays | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 3,568$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 48c | 3,484$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.17 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Rays | 47c | 3,473$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Rays | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Orioles | 53c | 2,297$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Rays | 48c | 2,153$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.52 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 53c | 2,153$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.09 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 1c | 1,651$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Orioles | 53c | 1,440$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Orioles | 51c | 1,035$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.85 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Orioles | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e093backed Orioles | 9c | 1,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 1c | 995.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Orioles | 10c | 961$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rays | 46c | 923.96$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.94 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 5c | 760$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…d9b6backed Rays | 47c | 659.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…348fbacked Orioles | 53c | 655$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Orioles | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 48c | 599.64$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.81 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…44eebacked Orioles | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 46c | 565.83$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Orioles | 45c | 550$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 48c | 521.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Rays | 47c | 508.09$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 51c | 487.2$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 47c | 481.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.04 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 32c | 427.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Orioles | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…8897backed Orioles | 53c | 395.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 48c | 394.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…dacbbacked Orioles | 53c | 390.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…f59abacked Orioles | 53c | 389.79$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Rays | 59c | 384.68$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 47c | 383.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Orioles | 30c | 381.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 55c | 362.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…30f3backed Rays | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 12c | 340.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…f548backed Orioles | 53c | 340$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Orioles | 52c | 309.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Orioles | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 52c | 260.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 16c | 256.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 46c | 253.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 50c | 253.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rays | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Rays | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Orioles | 26c | 232.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…50a7backed Rays | 48c | 218.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…33ffbacked Rays | 48c | 216.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rays | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 47c | 203$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Oriolesthis page
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.